The USDCAD is moving higher after a week or so of 逐渐走低, all of which were 迅速扭转, signaling that sellers lacked conviction (see lows on the chart above). That dynamic shifted more definitively after the FOMC利率决定, which fueled 广义美元买入 and helped push the pair above the 100-和200小时移动平均线. Those MAs, now sitting at 1.38107和1.38313, were retested earlier today when a modest dip found buyers—看涨的信号.

With momentum building, the price has now reached a 四月份起的关键天花板面积 between 1.38917和1.3904. This zone had acted as the high of the range for nearly two weeks and now serves as a major 技术壁垒. A 突破1.3904 would open the door toward the 下一个阻力区在1.3924和1.3933之间. Above that, the 4月15日高点1.3977 becomes the next upside target, followed by a 阻力汇合在1.4000附近, which includes the 4月跌幅回撤38.2%（1.4003） and the 200-日均线.

支持：
• 1.3860 = Highs from last Thursday

• 1.3810至1.3821 = 100/200小时MA

抗性：
• 1.38917–1.3904 = April ceiling
• 1.3924–1.3933 = Swing area
• 1.3977 = April 15 high
• 1.4000–1.4003 = Psych level / 38.2% / 200-day MA