USDCHF fell sharply yesterday, decisively breaking below its 100-小时均线 (blue line on the chart above) and extending beneath a key 挥杆区域 defined by multiple lows from last week between 0.8097和0.81288（请参阅上图中的红色圆圈）. The pair remained below this swing zone for most of the session before finding support at a low of 0.80412 and rebounding modestly into the close.

In today’s trading, the initial bounce continued back into the swing area, where 卖家倾向于0.81288附近的阻力位. The price then rotated lower again, reaching a session low of 0.8067 before buyers re-emerged. During the early U.S. session, bullish momentum pushed the pair above both the 挥杆区域顶部0.81288 and the 100-小时移动平均线0.81387. The price is currently hovering near this moving average.

If buyers are to assert more control, they need to 守住100小时移动平均线上方 (or at least the high of the swing area at 0.81288) and make a sustained push toward the 200小时移动平均线下跌至0.81707.

Notably, USDCHF hasn’t traded above the 200-hour MA since 月3, when both moving averages were around 0.8825. Since then, the pair has plunged nearly 800点, signaling deeply oversold conditions and increasing the potential for a corrective rebound.

However, a recovery can only gain traction if price action 在100小时和200小时移动平均线上方收复失地并保持住. Absent that, sellers will likely remain in control across short-, medium-, and long-term time frames.

Zooming out to the 周线图 below, the pair recently broke below a key floor area between 0.8333和0.8373 during the week of 四月6 (see red numbered circles on the chart). That former support zone now acts as a new ceiling. If buyers are to regain broader control, they’ll eventually need to reclaim that level as well.