The USDJPY has edged to a new session low of 141.96, slipping just below the earlier low of 142.00. On the 4-hour chart, the pair has now moved into a key 141.64至142.11之间的挥杆面积, a zone that dates back to 2024年8月. While price action dipped below this area in 2024年9月 and again earlier this month, support has generally held. This month’s low came in at 139.89, just above the 2024年低点139.57.

Zooming in on the hourly chart, the most recent rebound from the monthly low stalled at 144.02, falling short of the 38.2%回撤位 of the decline from the 3月28日高点151.20 (which sits at 144.20). That failure capped the bullish momentum and paved the way for renewed downside pressure.

Yesterday’s decline pushed the pair below both the 100-和200小时移动平均线 and briefly into the 141.64–142.11 support area. However, downside momentum faded, and price bounced back above the 200-hour MA. Still, in recent hours, the pair has resumed its move lower as 美国收益率下降, adding pressure to the dollar.

The key question now is whether sellers can sustain momentum and force a break below the 支撑区下限为141.64. A firm break would open the door for a retest of the 月度低点139.89附近, and potentially the 2024年低点139.57.