The EURUSD reached its 2021年9月以来的最高水平 last week, peaking at 1.18266. However, attempts to extend beyond that high faded, with momentum stalling on 周四接近周二的峰值（见绿色圆圈）. That shift in tone turned buyers into sellers, pushing the pair 低于100小时移动平均线 and down to a low of 1.1718.

A modest rebound followed, with the price testing the 100-小时MA on 周五 and again 今天早些. Both times, 卖家倾向于水平. The pair has since moved 回到200小时平均水平以下, currently at 1.1744. Notably, though, sellers have yet to break the 周四低点1.1718, which remains a 短期支撑.

The price has bounced back toward the 200-小时MA, where 卖家再次停滞上涨. As long as the pair stays 低于这个水平, the 看跌偏见 holds. A break below 1.1718 would open the door for a move toward the 1.1663 - 1.1691面积—an important zone of prior 支撑和阻力 dating back to 2021 (see daily chart below). A move below that zone could signal 更强的下行势头 ahead and give sellers more confidence..