The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 95.5%
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation", the probability that the Federal Reserve will drop 25 basis points by November is 95.5%, and the probability that the current interest rate will remain unchanged is 4.5%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged by December is 1.2%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 28.3%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 70.5%.
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