The USDCAD is moving higher after a week or so of 徐々に低迷する, all of which were すぐに逆転, signaling that sellers lacked conviction (see lows on the chart above). That dynamic shifted more definitively after the FOMC 金利決定, which fueled 幅広い USD 購入 and helped push the pair above the 100-200 時間移動平均. Those MAs, now sitting at 1.38107 と 1.38313, were retested earlier today when a modest dip found buyers—強気信号.

With momentum building, the price has now reached a 4 月からのキー天井面積 between 1.38917 と 1.3904. This zone had acted as the high of the range for nearly two weeks and now serves as a major 技術的障壁. A 1.3904 を上回るブレーク would open the door toward the 1.3924 と 1.3933 の間の次の抵抗ゾーン. Above that, the 4 月 15 日の高値 1.3977 becomes the next upside target, followed by a 1.4000 付近の抵抗の合流, which includes the 4 月の下落 （ 1.4003 ） の 38.2% のリトレース and the 200-日移動平均.

サポート：
• 1.3860 = Highs from last Thursday

• 1.3810 ～ 1.3821 = 100 / 200 時間 MA

抵抗：
• 1.38917–1.3904 = April ceiling
• 1.3924–1.3933 = Swing area
• 1.3977 = April 15 high
• 1.4000–1.4003 = Psych level / 38.2% / 200-day MA