The USDJPY has moved above the 38.2% リトレース of the 2025 trading range, measured from the 1 月 10 日の高値から 4 月 22 日の低値まで. That retracement level comes in at 147.135, and it's aligned with a key 147.014 と 147.338 の間のスイングエリア. The pair has extended to a high of 147.515, marking the 3 回目の試み to break and hold above this level since the April low.

Previous moves above the 38.2% retracement—on 5 月 12 日 and 6 月 23 日—ultimately 保持できなかった, but this renewed push gives バイヤー別の機会 to seize control. From a technical perspective, 147.135 を超えています is now critical. If that support holds, upside targets include the 6 月の最高値 148.019, followed by the 5 月の最高値 148.647, which sits within a 148.56 と 148.724 の間の顕著なスイングエリア (highlighted by red circles on the chart). That swing area increases the May highs importance

The market is once again testing the waters for a 強気ブレイクアウト. The question now is: バイヤーは最終的に 38.2% の retracement を上回るモメンタムを維持するか, or will this be another failed attempt? The USD 強気のクローズリスクレベルは 147.135 を上回っています to keep the bullish case alive.