The EURUSD remains under pressure after yesterday’s rally was capped by the 200-時間移動平均 and a swing area that extended up to 1.1275. That area remains a key upside hurdle for buyers looking to regain control, although the MA has drifted lower and currently sits near 1.1243.

Today’s price action has been contained, with highs limited near 1.1227, adding to the bearish tone. The pair has rotated back lower and is now 100 時間移動平均の再テスト at 1.11764—a level that already provided some support earlier in the today.

A break and hold 1.1176 以下 would tilt the bias further to the downside and expose the pair to a deeper retracement, with potential targets at 1.1145 、 1 週間の安値 1.1064 and the 38.2% リトレース of the 2025 trading range (from the Januayr low) at 1.10395. Getting below the 38.2% will ultimately need to be broken for the sellers to take more control.

Buyers will need to 1.1213 を上回るプッシュ, then ultimately challenge the 200-時 MA 1.12429 and swing area resistance between 1.12657 と 1.12754, to shift momentum back in their favor.

キーレベル ：

• サポート： 1.11764 (100-hour MA), 1.1145 (swing low), 1.1064 (low for the week), 1.10395 (38.2% retracement of 2025 trading range)

• 抵抗： 1.1227 (intraday high), 1.1243 (200-hour MA), 1.1275 (swing area top)