After tumbling lower yesterday, the NZDUSD found solid support near the 0.5882 〜 0.5892 スイングエリア, which has consistently acted as a key pivot point dating back to early May. The price bounce from that zone resulted in a higher daily close, a positive technical development that shifted momentum back toward the buyers.

Today’s follow-through buying has been constructive, with the pair pushing above multiple key technical levels, including the 最近のダウン動きの 50% の中間点, as well as the 100 時間 and 200-時間移動平均 (blue and green lines). That run higher took the pair to a high of 0.6040 レベル, but more importantly, the corrective move during the US session found 200 時間 MA でサポート, currently at 0.60104. That successful retest reinforces the technical significance of the 200-hour MA and keeps the bullish bias intact as long as the price stays above it.

Looking ahead, the 次のアップサイドターゲット lies at the 木曜高値 0.60558 近く, followed by a swing level resistance at 0.6064. Beyond that, the high prices from earlier in June form a resistance zone between 0.60788 と 0.60868, where the pair stalled on three separate occasions.

価格が 200 時間 MA を上回っている限り、強気はコントロールを保持し、上昇レベルがしっかりと焦点を当てています。しかし、その移動平均を下回ると、リバウンド構造が弱体化し、 0.59948 の 38.2% のリトラクションに続く 100 時間 MA （ 0.59824 ） または 50% のリトラクションレベル （ 0.59664 ） に向かって下振れリスクが再導入されます。