The USDJPY moved lower in early U.S. trading, finding support near the bottom of a 143.57 と 143.84 の間のスイングエリア, while also holding just above the 上昇する 200 時間移動平均, currently at 143.44. The price has since been oscillating around the 100-時間移動平均 143.93, but remains 4 月の安値 144.208 への 3 月の高値の 38.2% のリトレースを下回る—a level it briefly traded above during the Asian and early European sessions.

This area represents a タイトテクニカルクラスター, with the 200-hour MA offering support to the downside and the 38.2% retracement acting as resistance to the upside.

Last week, the pair surged on Thursday and Friday, breaking through several key targets—including the 100- and 200-hour MAs, the 38.2%, and even the 50% retracement—but ultimately stalled at the 4 時間チャートの 200 バー移動平均が下落しています, which capped the rally and triggered a move lower.

Now, with price back 38.2% のリトレースを下回る and indecisive around the 100-hour MA, 弱気リスクが高まっている. Traders will be watching for a firm move below the 200-hour MA at 143.44 to increase downside potential, while a break back above 144.208 would be needed to restore upside momentum.