After two days of sharp declines, the USDCHF plunged to new lows not seen since 2011, breaking below the 4月低点0.80388 but only reaching an extreme low of 0.8034 on Wednesday. The sell-off was exacerbated by dovish signals from Fed Chair Powell, who acknowledged that a 7月降息是可能的—fueling dollar weakness across the board. Lower yields added further downward pressure, culminating in yesterday’s failed break of the key multi-decade support.

That failure proved crucial. When today’s low successfully held at the 四月低谷（0.80388）, it attracted bargain hunters and profit-takers, turning sellers into buyers. The bounce accelerated as the price moved back above the 6月13日低点0.8054, which now serves as 密切支持. The rebound has shifted short-term momentum to the upside, but staying above the old June low would certainly give the buyers more confidence - as would reaching and surpassing upside targets.

Looking ahead, the next upside targets for the pair include 0.8088, followed by the 100-小时移动平均线0.8130, and the 200-小时移动平均线0.81377. These levels will be important resistance zones, particularly if buyers aim to shift the trend more meaningfully in their favor.

关键技术水平：

• 技术支持： 0.8054 (June 13 low), then 0.80388 (April low), followed by 0.8034 (2025 low)

• 抗性： 0.8088, 0.8130 (100-hour MA), 0.81377 (200-hour MA)

技术上从历史低点反弹，并且未能跌破2011年水平，为买家提供了战术优势--至少目前是这样。