The USDCAD is under pressure in trading today after buyers missed their opportunity to hold the breakout above a key ceiling area during yesterday's trade. The high yesterday extended to 1.3773, moving above the 1.37498-1.3759 resistance zone, but failed to sustain the breakout, triggering a reversal lower.

Earlier in the week, the pair had based against support near 1.3667, a level defined by 周一/周二的低点 and a prior swing low from 7月11日星期五, reinforcing its importance. The midweek rebound stalled near the 200-小时均线, but buyers held their ground until the failed upside push. Keep that swing level in mind going forward.

Now, the pair is 重新测试相同（或更高）的200小时MA（目前接近1.3699） — a pivotal barometer for both sides. A 跌破 it with momentum and the nearby 7月区间的38.2%回撤位1.3682 would tilt the bias more bearish and shift the focus back toward the 1.3664-1.3669 support zone.

A 在这里弹跳, however, keeps the short-term bias neutral-to-positive, with buyers needing to reclaim the 1.3711-1.3715区域 which includes the swing area up to 1.3711 and the 100 hour moving average at 1.37153.

关键级别总结：

• 支持

  • 1.3699 – 200-hour MA (key intraday barometer)

  • 1.3682 – 38.2% of July range

  • 1.3664-1.36697 – Weekly lows and 50% midpoint

• 紧密抵抗

  • 1.3711-1.3715 – high of the swing area and the 100 hour moving average

  • 突破100小时移动平均线并保持在上方将目标1.3730（从今天早些时候开始低震荡和高震荡）

  • 1.3749 - 1.3759。摇摆区昨天达到极端高点1.3773