The NZDUSD has exhibited choppy, back-and-forth price action going back to April, and the 4-hour chart reflects that volatility. It’s been far from a clean trend—but even in this turbulence, a 摆动区域在0.5967和0.5977之间 has consistently (enough) acted as a pivot point, with multiple swing highs and lows forming within it (see red numbered circles).

Yesterday, the pair bounced off the 挥杆区的底部, but today’s renewed 美元走强 has pushed the price back down through that area. The 跌破0.5967-0.5977 has tilted the short-term bias more bearish (see red numbered circles on chart).

如果卖家能够保持势头，下一个下跌目标是：

• 0.5922 (recent low)

• A 挥杆面积在0.5882和0.5892之间

• The 38.2%回撤位 of the April–July move higher, at 0.58765

A sustained move 位于摆动区域和38.2%回撤下方 would give sellers greater control and open the door to deeper downside potential. For now, the pressure is building—but follow-through is key.