The USDJPY has moved above the 38.2%回撤位 of the 2025 trading range, measured from the 1月10日高点至4月22日低点. That retracement level comes in at 147.135, and it's aligned with a key 挥杆面积在147.014和147.338之间. The pair has extended to a high of 147.515, marking the 三次尝试 to break and hold above this level since the April low.

Previous moves above the 38.2% retracement—on 五月12 and 六月23—ultimately 未能守住, but this renewed push gives 买家的另一个机会 to seize control. From a technical perspective, 保持在147.135以上 is now critical. If that support holds, upside targets include the 6月高点148.019, followed by the 5月高点148.647, which sits within a 148.56至148.724之间的明显摇摆区域 (highlighted by red circles on the chart). That swing area increases the May highs importance

The market is once again testing the waters for a 看涨突破. The question now is: 买家最终会维持38.2%回撤上方的势头吗, or will this be another failed attempt? The 美元看涨者的收盘风险水平为147.135以上 to keep the bullish case alive.