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美国就业报告强于预期后,美元走高

非农就业报告强于预期后,美元走强,该报告显示新增14.7万个就业岗位,远高于11万个预期。

The 美元走强 following a 非农工资报告强于预期, which showed a gain of 14.7万个工作岗位, well above the 11万估计. The 失业率 also improved, falling to 4.1% from 4.3%. However, 平均时薪 were softer, rising 环比0.2% (vs. 0.3% expected) and 同比3.7% (vs. 3.9% expected).

One notable caveat: 政府招聘占总就业增长的近一半, with 新增73,000个职位, primarily at the 州和地方各级.

A quick look at the 主要货币对的技术状况 reveals the following:

EURUSD: The EURUSD broke below its 100-小时移动平均线为1.1768, signaling a more bearish tone, while still holding above the 200-小时移动平均线为1.16075, with the session low reaching 1.17163. Notably, the pair also fell below yesterday’s 低至1.1746 and last week’s 最高报1.17529点, both of which now act as 近期阻力. Yesterday’s bounce held at the 100-hour MA, so today’s move below it strengthens the bearish bias, and sellers will look to defend these broken levels to maintain short-term control.

  • The USDJPY moved sharply higher, breaking above both its 100- and 200-hour moving averages following a stronger-than-expected US jobs report. The 100-hour MA, at 143.904, offered little resistance, and the pair quickly cleared the 200-hour MA at 144.567 as well. Momentum carried the price through the 50%回撤 of the move up from the May 27 low, which sits at 145.06. The pair is currently trading around 145.20, signaling growing bullish control. On further upside, 抵抗目标 come in at 145.47 and 145.76. Buyers remain control as long as price stays above broken resistance levels with the 200 moving average at 144.56 a key support.:
  • GBPUSD: The GBPUSD dropped sharply following the US jobs report, breaking below key technical levels including the 38.2%回撤位 of the June low to end-of-month high at 1.3628, as well as the 挥杆面积在1.3615和1.3633之间—both of which now act as 近期阻力. A move back above those levels would likely frustrate sellers and could trigger 空头回补. On the downside, the price found support just above the 50%中点 of the June trading range at 1.35786. Notably, yesterday the pair briefly dipped below that midpoint to 1.35618 before rebounding strongly and rallying toward swing highs earlier today, only to reverse lower again on the back of the stronger data. Getting below the 50% midpoint and the low from yesterday would have traders looking toward 1.35292 (61.8% retracement level).
  • USDCHF: The USDCHF pushed higher, breaking above its 100-小时移动平均线0.7938 and moving past last week’s 低点0.7957, which now serves as 密切支持 for buyers looking to maintain upside momentum. On the topside, key resistance comes in at the 38.2%回撤位 of the decline from the June 19 high at 0.8002, with the 200小时移动平均线跌破0.7999. A break above the 0.8000级别 would be a significant bullish signal, opening the door for buyers to take firmer control.

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