The Canada’s April 2025 jobs report showed a 就业温和增长7.4万，超过2.5万 forecast but coming off a sharp decline of 32.6K the prior month. The headline 失业率升至6.9%，高于6.8%的预期 and the 2021年以来最高—partly due to a slight rise in labor force participation.

全职就业人数反弹，增加了31.5K，但兼职工作减少了24.2K. 制造业就业人数下降31，000, and average hourly wages for permanent employees held steady at 3.5% year-over-year.

While the uptick in full-time work was encouraging, the report was 受到失业率上升和与选举相关的3.7万临时招聘增长的拖累，预计该增长将在5月份逆转。总体而言，该报告略有负面倾斜。

自报告发布以来，美元兑加元几乎没有出现价格波动。从技术上看，该货币对在本周早些时候未能获得下跌动力后继续上行。该货币对已突破之前的阻力位1.38917-1.3904，将该区域转化为支撑。守住这个新的底部对于维持看涨偏见至关重要。如果价格回落至下方，短期内买家将感到失望。

The next key challenge lies in the 1.3924-1.3933回转区. Earlier today, the price did move above that area, but could not sustain the bullish momentum. To keep the momentum going, the price must not only break above this zone but also hold above it. They 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April high remains as a target that needs to be broken to show the buyers are taking back more control. The 200 day moving average is also near that level just above the 1.4000 level.

如果看涨者成功, the next targets on the topside come in at:

• 1.3977 – swing high from mid-April

• 1.4000区 – where the 38.2% retracement of the broader move down and the 200-day moving average converge

随着支撑的上升和下行动力的减弱，阻力最小的路径目前倾向于走高，但在1.3933水平上方的后续对于打开1.4000目标的大门至关重要。

关键级别：

• 支持： 1.38917–1.3904 (prior ceiling, now a floor). Move below would disappoint buyers looking for more upside.

• 抗性： 1.3924–1.3933 (must break and hold)

• 向上目标： 1.3977, then 1.4000