Last week, 美元兑加元跌至2024年10月以来的最低水平, with the pair reaching a low of 周四1.3534 before rebounding modestly on Friday. As seen on the daily chart, the decline started from around 5月13日1.4015, following a test of the 200-日均线 (green line). The move down briefly pushed the pair below a key 1.3643附近趋势线支撑, but downside momentum quickly faded.

Friday’s recovery, aided by the U.S. and Canadian jobs reports, saw the price push above the 100-小时均线, though it struggled to hold above that level and closed the week near it (see blue line on the chart below).

Earlier today, USDCAD moved lower again—falling below the 100-hour MA—but has since bounced and is now trading back above it as buyers and sellers battle. The 100-小时MA（目前接近1.3687，蓝线） is acting as a short-term pivot. Holding above this level may suggest the start of a 纠正恢复, but for bullish momentum to build more convincingly, the pair must climb and 保持在200小时均线上方（下图中绿线1.3731.

Notably, the price briefly traded above the 200-hour MA on both 5月29日和5月30日, but failed to hold, leading to renewed selling pressure. A sustained break above that level would be a key signal for a shift in near-term bias.