The USDCAD is consolidating between the 100小时 (1.43857) and 200小时 (1.44041) moving averages ahead of the 加拿大央行 rate decision at 上午9时45. The central bank is widely expected to 降息25个基点 due to concerns over tariffs and slowing economic growth. The pair is currently trading near 1.4400, with traders awaiting the BoC’s move to break the neutral range and set a directional bias.

From a technical perspective, the 均线 will serve as key indicators:

• A 突破200小时平均水平（1.4404） would signal bullish momentum, with upside targets at 1.4448至1.4471. A move beyond 1.4471 would be a shift from tariff induced spikes. .
• Conversely, a 跌破100小时均线（1.43857） shifts the bias lower, targeting the 50%回撤位于1.43454. Further downside would see support at the lower consolidation range between 1.4268和1.4278.

The 央行的决定和前瞻性指导 will determine whether USDCAD breaks higher or lower from this consolidation zone. It's more traditional vs the tariff-induced price moves of late, but be aware, the tariff scuffle is not fully resolved (April 2 and more tariffs are not far away).