Since 五月12, the EURUSD has been steadily trending higher, rising from a low of 1.1065 to a high of 1.18266 this week—a gain of 761点 over 37个交易日, or 6.88%. The rally has been supported by solid upside momentum and 美元普遍疲软。.

On a 年初至今 basis, the EURUSD is up an impressive 13.78%, after closing 2024年，1.0354. The rise has been fueled by sustained 美元卖盘 in 2025, driven by 对美国债务水平的担忧加剧 and a 全球资本重新分配. This strength has come even as 欧元区利率走低, highlighting the dominance of dollar-specific flows and 看涨技术突破 through resistance.

Technically, the pair has remained 高于100小时移动平均线 since 六月23, reinforcing the bullish tone. That moving average—currently at 1.17487 (请参阅上图中的蓝线)—was tested earlier today, but 买家坚守阵地 and pushed the pair back up to 1.1781. The ability to stay above that support level continues to 验证买家的控制权.

Going forward, the 100-小时均线 remains a 关键短期支撑水平. A sustained break below it would be needed to 将偏见转向卖家. Until then, the 阻力最小的路径仍然是向上的. The next key upside targets come in at 今日高点1.1808 and 昨日高点1.18266. A break above those levels opens the door toward the next 主要目标为1.1909, a level not seen since 2021年7月和9月.

美元抛售可能是美国公司海外销售的顺风，但对欧洲公司在美国销售的顺风。