tradeCompass今日标准普尔500指数期货分析（2025年5月26日）

TradeCompass为ES期货交易者提供的摘要
标准普尔500期货（股票代码：ES 1！）分析时：5，890
上方看涨： 5,866
看空下方： 5,835
主要偏见： Bullish (but extended)
部分目标（长）： 5,883, 5,904, 5,924
部分目标（空头）： 5,826, 5,817, 5,794, 5,768
延长跑者目标（长）： 5,968.5

ES价格预测和看涨背景-不要追逐反弹

After a four-day pullback that started on May 20, the 标准普尔500指数期货强劲反弹, now up 百分之一点二五 from Friday’s close and trading around 5,890. Bulls have clearly regained momentum, but tradeCompass敦促谨慎行事: just because the market is bullish doesn't mean it’s time to enter blindly.

Our 看涨阈值 today is 5,866, aligned with today’s VWAP and broader intraday strength. As long as price remains above it, the bullish bias holds. But 当前的涨势已经成熟, and risk-reward on new longs is limited unless price retraces.

ES长期贸易进入区和上行利润目标

Should futures pull back intraday, consider these levels for 高概率条目 in alignment with the bullish bias:

第一进入区：

• 5,874-5,877: This tight band includes today’s Point of Control and May 22–23 VAH. A retrace here may attract dip buyers.

更深的入口区：

• 5,866: Today’s VWAP and our official bullish threshold. A deeper retracement, but potentially a higher-probability setup.

If these entries trigger, consider these 部分利润上行目标:

5,883 – Just under May 22 Value Area Low, first friction point.
5,904 – Approaching May 21 VWAP.
5,924 – Near May 13 Value Area High, a prior resistance zone.
5,968.5 – Stretch target just beneath May 20 Value Area High, ideal for a runner if earlier targets have been secured and stops moved to entry.

标准普尔500指数今日期货分析-熊市情景和下跌水平

We remain bullish 直到价格突破5835 with a sustained move. A breakdown below that level flips the bias and opens room for downside action. Traders may define “sustained” differently—common approaches include:

• 30-分钟收于5，835下方

• 连续两个收盘于下方

• 或参与前15分钟的确认期

如果熊市情景激活，请考虑这些部分利润目标：

5,826 – Near May 12 Value Area Low; close mitigation level.
5,817 – Above May 23 Point of Control; could draw defensive buyers.
5,794 – Above May 23 VAL; deeper test of acceptance.
5,768 – Sits just above the second lower VWAP deviation from May 23.

根据tradeCompass逻辑，在这一门槛被定罪之前，卖空交易仍然不会被考虑在内。

交易教育洞察：了解VWAP和交易量概况

VWAP（卷加权平均价格） is a dynamic intraday benchmark representing the average price at which the instrument has traded, weighted by volume. It is often used by institutions to gauge fair value and assess trend strength. A price above VWAP usually signals bullish momentum; below it, bearish.

体积轮廓, on the other hand, maps where volume concentrated over a specific time period, giving us:

• VAH（高值区域）： The upper boundary of 70% of volume acceptance.

• VAR（低值区）： The lower boundary.

• Pod（控制点）： The single price level with the most traded volume.

这些可以帮助交易员识别支撑/阻力区、逆转潜力和高概率交易设置。

今天的看涨情况得到了前几个交易日价格收复价值区域的支持, confirming renewed buyer interest.

今日标准普尔500指数交易者的tradeCompass策略

• Stick to 每个地图每个方向一次交易。

• 将止跌转为入场 after hitting early targets.

• Don’t reverse a position just because a threshold flips—等待确认.

• Stop-losses must be tied logically to thresholds—而不是超越他们.

If you're holding a short from earlier in the week, today’s action suggests 退出该位置, but 不盲目翻长 unless a clean retrace entry appears.

tradeCompass为ES交易者提供战略决策支持

tradeCompass isn’t a prediction service nor financial advice, it’s a 可自行决定指导决策的战略地图. We identify when bulls or bears take control, define logical entry areas, and highlight partial-profit levels to manage risk and maximize potential.

交易风险自负，markets are dynamic. Use this framework for added discipline, not overconfidence.

请在此处阅读完整的原始分析：https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/sp-500-futures-analysis-today-bulls-back-in-control-key-entry-levels-fo-may-26-2025-20250526/

注：ForexLive.com将于今年晚些时候过渡到investingLive.com，因此请继续关注扩大的现场报道、增强的决策支持工具和更深入的专家见解。