The AUDUSD has experienced a choppy four-day stretch, marked by key technical tests on both ends of the range. After dipping to a low of 0.6391 yesterday—just above the prior support zone near 0.6388 (Thursday/Friday’s lows)—buyers stepped in and defended the level, forming a near-term base. That bounce highlights the 0.6388-0.6391区域作为关键支持, where recent dip-buyers found value.

The rebound has since taken the pair back above the 100-小时和200小时移动平均线, both converging near 0.6425, which now represent 密切支持 and a 短期牛/熊偏见的晴雨表.

On the topside, price has stalled just ahead of the 200-日均线, currently near 0.6454, which is acting as 电阻. A break above that level would open the door for more upside momentum, but for now, buyers face a hurdle.

总之, the last four sessions show a market respecting well-defined technical boundaries:

• 支持 held at multi-day lows (0.6388–0.6391)

• 电阻 formed near the 200-day MA (~0.6454)

• 战线 is now drawn at the 100/200-hour MAs (~0.6425)

关键层次：

• 支持： 0.6425 (100/200-hour MAs), 0.6388–0.6391

• 阻力： 0.6454 (200-day MA), 0.6469

• 偏见： Neutral-to-bullish above 0.6425, bearish tilt resumes below

Fundamentally , yesterday the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its cash rate to 3.85%从4.10%, as widely expected, citing easing inflation and a more balanced risk outlook. While headline inflation may temporarily rise, underlying inflation is projected to stay near the midpoint of the 2–3% target range. The RBA noted recovering domestic demand and persistent labor market tightness, but flagged growing uncertainty from global trade tensions and tariffs. Despite the rate cut, the Board remains cautious and emphasized that monetary policy will remain responsive to evolving economic risks both at home and abroad.

这一削减确实帮助该货币对昨日走低至支撑目标，但在收盘时有所反弹。今天，昨天的跌幅已经回吐。