The USDJPY extended its move lower today, breaking decisively below the 200-4小时图上的条形移动平均线 (currently near 144.86) and staying below that level through the U.S. session. The move marked a key shift in near-term momentum as sellers tightened their grip.

The decline accelerated after the pair failed to sustain above the swing area between 143.57和144.03, with sellers leaning against that zone during the latest correction. The subsequent move lower pushed price action toward the 4月至5月反弹61.8%, which comes in at 143.225. The low of the day reached 143.29, stalling just above that Fibonacci support.

Looking ahead, holding above the 143.22-143.29 area keeps the door open for a bounce or corrective move. However, for buyers to regain control, the pair would need to push back above the 144.03-144.26 swing area and ultimately reclaim the 200-条形移动平均线 and 100-小时MA, both clustered near 144.86.

要观看的关键关卡：

• 支持：

  • 143.29 -时段低点

  • 143.225 - 61.8% 4月低点至5月高点回撤

  • 142.35 - 5月6日起跌至低点

  • 14164 -142.109 -下一个下行摇摆区域

• 阻力：

  • 143.573-144.026 -秋千区

  • 4小时图上的144.18至144.257 - 200 bar MA和50%回撤

  • 144.858 -收敛100巴MA（4小时）和100小时MA

  • 145.91 - 200小时MA（近期上限）

🔻偏倚：
Bearish below 144.03;
Break of 143.25 would increase downside momentum toward deeper retracement targets.