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Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" is tentatively set at 16%."

According to online reports, according to official website data, Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" is 16%, and the probability of "Musk creating a new political party before the end of June" is 5%. These two probabilities dropped by 5% and 2% respectively from yesterday.

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