According to online reports, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 93.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 24%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut by 25 basis points is 71%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut by 50 basis points is 5%. Before the non-agricultural announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve leaving interest rates unchanged in July was 76.7, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 23.3%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 4.9%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 21.8%. (Jin Shi)