Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party before the end of this year" is 42%"
According to online reports, according to official website data, Polymarket predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party before the end of this year" is 42%;Kalshi predicts that the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" is now 35%. Musk said on July 1 that if the "Big Beautiful Act" was passed, a new political party in the United States would be established the next day. Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" passed the House this morning and will be signed at 5 a.m. Saturday. In addition, Musk launched a vote on social media on June 6:"Is it time to create a new political party in the United States that truly represents the middle 80%?" The voting results showed that 5,630,775 users participated in the voting, of which 80.4% chose to support it.
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