The USDCAD is under pressure in trading today after buyers missed their opportunity to hold the breakout above a key ceiling area during yesterday's trade. The high yesterday extended to 1.3773, moving above the 1.37498 — 1.3759 resistance zone, but failed to sustain the breakout, triggering a reversal lower.

Earlier in the week, the pair had based against support near 1.3667, a level defined by 月曜日 / 火曜日の低値 and a prior swing low from 7 月 11 日 （ 金 ）, reinforcing its importance. The midweek rebound stalled near the 200-時間移動平均, but buyers held their ground until the failed upside push. Keep that swing level in mind going forward.

Now, the pair is 同じ （ およびそれ以上の ） 200 時間 MA （ 現在 1.3699 近く ） を再テストします。 — a pivotal barometer for both sides. A 下に壊れ it with momentum and the nearby 7 月のレンジ 1.3682 の 38.2% リトレースメント would tilt the bias more bearish and shift the focus back toward the 1.3664 — 1.3669 support zone.

A ボunce here, however, keeps the short-term bias neutral-to-positive, with buyers needing to reclaim the ゾーン 1.3711 — 1.3715 which includes the swing area up to 1.3711 and the 100 hour moving average at 1.37153.

キーレベル概要 ：

• 支援

  • 1.3699 – 200-hour MA (key intraday barometer)

  • 1.3682 – 38.2% of July range

  • 1.3664 — 1.36697 – Weekly lows and 50% midpoint

• 閉じる抵抗

  • 1.3711 — 1.3715 – high of the swing area and the 100 hour moving average

  • 100 時間移動平均を上回って移動し、その上にとどまる場合、 1.3730 をターゲットにします （ 今日の早朝からスイングローとスイングハイ ）

  • 1.3749 — 1.3759 。極端な高値近くのスイングエリアは昨日 1.3773 に達しました