The USDCHF has moved higher alongside broad U.S. dollar strength and, in the process, has 38.2% の retracement を上回る of the decline from the June high. That key level at 0.8002 has now been cleared, with the pair currently trading near 0.8021.

The next upside target comes in at the 0.8043 で 50% のリトレースレベル, which lies within a broader 0.8039 と 0.8055 の間のスイングエリア (see red numbered circles on the chart above), dating back to mid-April. This zone represents a key test for buyers looking to extend the breakout.

With price moving above the 最近の連結範囲のトップ (highlighted by the red box between 0.7994 と 0.8002), that former ceiling now becomes 短期支援. Holding above it keeps the bullish momentum alive. A drop back below would signal a 失敗ブレイクアウト, likely disappointing buyers and pulling price back into the prior range.

For now, バイヤーはコントロールできます—at least in the short term. The question is whether they can maintain momentum and push toward the next technical hurdles.