USDCHF fell sharply yesterday, decisively breaking below its 100-時間移動平均 (blue line on the chart above) and extending beneath a key スイングエリア defined by multiple lows from last week between 0.809 7 と 0.81288 （ 上記のチャートの赤い数字付き円を参照 ）. The pair remained below this swing zone for most of the session before finding support at a low of 0.80412 and rebounding modestly into the close.

In today’s trading, the initial bounce continued back into the swing area, where 売り手は 0.81288 付近のレジスタンスに傾いた. The price then rotated lower again, reaching a session low of 0.8067 before buyers re-emerged. During the early U.S. session, bullish momentum pushed the pair above both the スイングエリアのトップは 0.81288 です and the 100-時間移動平均 0.81387. The price is currently hovering near this moving average.

If buyers are to assert more control, they need to 100 時間移動平均を上回る (or at least the high of the swing area at 0.81288) and make a sustained push toward the 200 時間移動平均は 0.8170 7 で下落しました.

Notably, USDCHF hasn’t traded above the 200-hour MA since 4 月 3 日, when both moving averages were around 0.8825. Since then, the pair has plunged nearly 800 ピップ, signaling deeply oversold conditions and increasing the potential for a corrective rebound.

However, a recovery can only gain traction if price action 100 時間移動平均と 200 時間移動平均の両方を上回っています. Absent that, sellers will likely remain in control across short-, medium-, and long-term time frames.

Zooming out to the 週刊チャート below, the pair recently broke below a key floor area between 0.8333 と 0.8373 during the week of 4 月 6 日 (see red numbered circles on the chart). That former support zone now acts as a new ceiling. If buyers are to regain broader control, they’ll eventually need to reclaim that level as well.