予想を上回る米国の雇用レポートの後、米ドルは上昇
米ドルは、予想を上回る非農業給与報告書に続いて強まり、予想を上回る 14 万 7 千の雇用増加を示しました。
The 米ドル高 following a 予想を上回る非農業給与報告書, which showed a gain of 147K の雇用, well above the 110K 推定. The 失業率 also improved, falling to 4.1% from 4.3%. However, 平均時給 were softer, rising 月比 0.2% (vs. 0.3% expected) and 前年比 3.7% (vs. 3.9% expected).
One notable caveat: 政府の雇用は雇用増加の半分近くを占めています, with 73,000 名追加, primarily at the 州 · 地方レベル.
A quick look at the 主要通貨ペアのテクニカル画像 reveals the following:
EURUSD: The EURUSD broke below its 100-1 時間移動平均 1.1768, signaling a more bearish tone, while still holding above the 200-1 時間移動平均 1.16075, with the session low reaching 1.17163. Notably, the pair also fell below yesterday’s 1.1746 で安値 and last week’s 1.17529 で高値, both of which now act as 短期抵抗力. Yesterday’s bounce held at the 100-hour MA, so today’s move below it strengthens the bearish bias, and sellers will look to defend these broken levels to maintain short-term control.
- The USDJPY moved sharply higher, breaking above both its 100- and 200-hour moving averages following a stronger-than-expected US jobs report. The 100-hour MA, at 143.904, offered little resistance, and the pair quickly cleared the 200-hour MA at 144.567 as well. Momentum carried the price through the 50% リトレースメント of the move up from the May 27 low, which sits at 145.06. The pair is currently trading around 145.20, signaling growing bullish control. On further upside, 抵抗目標 come in at 145.47 and 145.76. Buyers remain control as long as price stays above broken resistance levels with the 200 moving average at 144.56 a key support.:
- GBPUSD: The GBPUSD dropped sharply following the US jobs report, breaking below key technical levels including the 38.2% リトレース of the June low to end-of-month high at 1.3628, as well as the 1.3615 と 1.3633 の間のスイングエリア—both of which now act as 短期抵抗力. A move back above those levels would likely frustrate sellers and could trigger ショートカバー. On the downside, the price found support just above the 50% 中間点 of the June trading range at 1.35786. Notably, yesterday the pair briefly dipped below that midpoint to 1.35618 before rebounding strongly and rallying toward swing highs earlier today, only to reverse lower again on the back of the stronger data. Getting below the 50% midpoint and the low from yesterday would have traders looking toward 1.35292 (61.8% retracement level).
- USDCHF: The USDCHF pushed higher, breaking above its 100-時間移動平均 0.7938 and moving past last week’s 0.7957 で安値, which now serves as 近いサポート for buyers looking to maintain upside momentum. On the topside, key resistance comes in at the 38.2% リトレース of the decline from the June 19 high at 0.8002, with the 200 時間移動平均は 0.7999 を下回っています. A break above the 0.8000 レベル would be a significant bullish signal, opening the door for buyers to take firmer control.
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