Last week, USDCAD は 2024 年 10 月以来の最低水準に下落した, with the pair reaching a low of 木曜日の 1.3534 before rebounding modestly on Friday. As seen on the daily chart, the decline started from around 5 月 13 日 1.4015, following a test of the 200-日移動平均 (green line). The move down briefly pushed the pair below a key 1.3643 付近のトレンドラインサポート, but downside momentum quickly faded.

Friday’s recovery, aided by the U.S. and Canadian jobs reports, saw the price push above the 100-時間移動平均, though it struggled to hold above that level and closed the week near it (see blue line on the chart below).

Earlier today, USDCAD moved lower again—falling below the 100-hour MA—but has since bounced and is now trading back above it as buyers and sellers battle. The 100-1 時間 MA （ 現在 1.3687 近く、青い線 ） is acting as a short-term pivot. Holding above this level may suggest the start of a 補正回復, but for bullish momentum to build more convincingly, the pair must climb and 200 時間 MA （ 下のチャートの緑線 1.3731 ） を上にとどまる.

Notably, the price briefly traded above the 200-hour MA on both 5 月 29 日、 5 月 30 日, but failed to hold, leading to renewed selling pressure. A sustained break above that level would be a key signal for a shift in near-term bias.