Yesterday, the EURUSD saw a bullish attempt as price moved above the 1.13183 で 50% のリトレースレベル, but バイヤーはブレイクを止められなかった, turning momentum back toward the downside in the short term. That failure gave sellers a renewed edge, at least in the short term.

The pair is now approaching a 1.125 8 と 1.1275 4 の間の重要なテクニカル合流域. This zone has played a pivotal role recently—acting first as a 床, then as a 天井, and now potentially a 再び床. Within this range lies the rising 100-時間移動平均 and the broken 38.2% リトレース of the move down from the April high —adding further weight to its importance.

A hold above this サポートクラスター keeps the pair in a neutral-to-bullish posture - negating the failure above the 50% retracement. That potentially sets the stage for another upside attempt. However, 1.1258 を下回るブレイク would shift the bias more clearly back to the downside, exposing further support levels at 1.1215 （ 200 時間 MA ） と 1.11899 から 1.1213 の間のスイングエリア.

監視するキーレベル ：

• 抵抗： 1.13183 (50% Fib), 1.1362 (highs from yesterday), 1.1378 (61.8% retracement)

• サポート： 1.1258–1.12754 (key zone), 1.12157 (rising 200 hour MA), 1.11899 to 1.1213 (swing area)

Momentum is turning, and how price behaves around 1.1258 — 1.12754 will be critical in determining the next directional move/bias.