The AUDUSD has experienced a choppy four-day stretch, marked by key technical tests on both ends of the range. After dipping to a low of 0.6391 yesterday—just above the prior support zone near 0.6388 (Thursday/Friday’s lows)—buyers stepped in and defended the level, forming a near-term base. That bounce highlights the 重要なサポートとして 0.6388 — 0.6391 エリア, where recent dip-buyers found value.

The rebound has since taken the pair back above the 100-時間移動平均と 200 時間移動平均, both converging near 0.6425, which now represent 近いサポート and a 短期強気 / 弱気バイアスのバロメーター.

On the topside, price has stalled just ahead of the 200-日移動平均, currently near 0.6454, which is acting as 抵抗. A break above that level would open the door for more upside momentum, but for now, buyers face a hurdle.

概要, the last four sessions show a market respecting well-defined technical boundaries:

• 支援 held at multi-day lows (0.6388–0.6391)

• 抵抗 formed near the 200-day MA (~0.6454)

• バトルライン is now drawn at the 100/200-hour MAs (~0.6425)

キーレベル ：

• サポート： 0.6425 (100/200-hour MAs), 0.6388–0.6391

• 抵抗： 0.6454 (200-day MA), 0.6469

• バイアス： Neutral-to-bullish above 0.6425, bearish tilt resumes below

Fundamentally , yesterday the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its cash rate to 4.10% から 3.85%, as widely expected, citing easing inflation and a more balanced risk outlook. While headline inflation may temporarily rise, underlying inflation is projected to stay near the midpoint of the 2–3% target range. The RBA noted recovering domestic demand and persistent labor market tightness, but flagged growing uncertainty from global trade tensions and tariffs. Despite the rate cut, the Board remains cautious and emphasized that monetary policy will remain responsive to evolving economic risks both at home and abroad.

カットは昨日、ペアをサポートターゲットに下落させるのに役立ちましたが、終値まで上昇しました。今日、昨日からの下落は取り戻されました。