The 美元兑日元在亚洲早盘走低, with some pressure coming from 广泛美元抛售 after a 华尔街日报 article highlighted growing 美联储内部的部门. However, that dip was 很快引起了购买兴趣, as the pair found support at the 100小时移动平均线上升 (blue line on the chart above). That level held, keeping 买家控制 and setting the stage for a rebound.

In the 北美时段, the price has extended to the upside. Taking a broader view of the 4-小时图, key 阻力逼近38.2%回撤位附近 of the decline from the 2025年高点 (set on January 10). That retracement level sits at 147.135, just below the 周高147.175 reached yesterday. Also in play is a 挥杆面积在147.01至147.338之间, which has acted as a ceiling in recent sessions.

A 移动到这个阻力区上方 would open the door for a retest of the 6月高点148.02, and potentially further toward the next swing area between 148.56和148.72.

The 今日100小时移动平均线买入兴趣 was a key technical clue—延缓下滑 and keeping the short-term bullish momentum alive. The next test will be whether 买家可以维持突破38.2%回撤位上方, which also 本周早些时候限制了价格行动.

To maintain control, 买家需要突破并保持在147.135上方. Failing to do so could invite sellers back into the picture and shift the near-term tone back to neutral.