The 美元兑瑞士法郎走高 following a 美国首次申请失业救济报告好于预期, indicating continued strength in the labor market. However, the rise in 持续索赔达到2021年以来的最高水平 suggests that those who lose jobs are finding it harder to get rehired — a sign of 潜在摩擦 in employment conditions.

While the data doesn’t signal a significant deterioration in the jobs picture, it also 不支持美联储7月份降息的紧迫性, despite ongoing market debate. Key inflation readings — CPI和PPI, due next week on 7月15日和16日, respectively — will be 关键 in shaping expectations.

美股反应温和负面 to the report. The 纳斯达克下跌~10点, the 道琼斯指数-78点, and the 标准普尔-5.76点.

美国收益率小幅走高，10年期国债上涨1个基点至4.350%。2年期收益率上涨0.6个基点至3.868%。

On the 技术前, USDCHF 跌破100小时移动平均线（蓝线）0.7956和200小时移动平均线（绿线）0.7943上方 earlier today — levels it fell below yesterday. This recovery gives 买家重新控制和信心.

抵抗目标包括：

• 昨日高点 at 0.7979

• 本周高点 at 0.7994

• 38.2%回撤位 of the decline from the June high at 0.8002, which aligns with 心理阻力在0.8000水平

A break above this retracement would 强化看涨前景 and signal 买家重新夺回主导地位的意愿更大. Conversely, a move back below the 100 hour moving average and 200 hour moving average would weaken the technical picture.