The AUDUSD has been confined within a 狭窄的191点范围介于0.63216和0.6513之间 over the last 28个交易日. That is a relatively tight range, 表明市场对下一步行动不确定.

At the center of this range are the 100-和200小时移动平均线, both of which are now 几乎收敛于0.6439. Over the past several days, the price has been 在此移动平均线集群上方和下方波动, with each break 缺乏后续行动. Today, the pair has once again 移动到MA以下, 将短期偏见重新倾斜至下行.

The key question now is: 卖家能否将价格保持在MA以下并建立动力？ The next key technical target comes in at the 向上倾斜的趋势线 and the 近期低点0.6388附近, which has acted as a 自上周五以来的地板. A break below that level would open the door toward the 200-4小时图上的MA柱位于0.63669. Below that, the 支撑区介于0.63216和0.63437之间 comes into focus.

On the flip side, a 回到100/200小时MA上方0.6439 would shift attention to the 200-日移动平均线报0.64532. The 最近四个交易日 have seen 试图保持在关键长期平均水平之上的尝试失败, including a failed break again during today’s session highs.

关键技术亮点（更新）：

• 范围： 0.63216 to 0.6513 (191 pips over 28 days)

• 当前阻力区： 100/200-hour MAs near 0.6439

• 如果被打破，则向上目标： 200-日MA为0.64532。超过200天MA的尝试最近都失败了。

• 初始支持： 0.6388 (swing low/floor since last Friday)

• 下一步支持： 200-酒吧MA（4小时）0.63669

• 更广泛的支持区： 0.63216-0.63437

• 偏见： Bearish below 0.6439, with pressure building if 0.6388 fails

This technical standoff continues—势头有利于卖方, but they still need to take out 关键下行目标 to gain clearer control.