The GBPUSD is trading in a 紧密的50点范围 today—well below the 21-日平均范围为101点. That puts today's action at 不到典型每日波动率的一半, suggesting a market waiting for a catalyst.

The 当日最高触及1.3440, just shy of the 4月高点至1.3441（以及今年前高点）. Yesterday, the pair extended above the April 2025年高点, reaching 1.34695, but today’s inability to push through the prior peak may have encouraged 卖方依靠抵抗, hoping for a momentum shift.

For sellers to gain traction, however, they must 将价格推至上涨的100小时移动平均线下方, currently at 1.33799. That level serves as a key support line in the short-term battle. Notably, the last time GBPUSD traded below the 100-hour MA was back on 五月19, when the average was down at 1.3276.

In short, while there is 1.3441附近的技术阻力位, sellers still have 缺点方面要做的工作. A sustained move below the 100-hour MA would be needed to shift the bias more convincingly in their favor.