According to online reports, according to the latest data from Polymarket, as of today, among the contracts related to "whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in October 2025", the probability of the option of "cutting interest rates by 25 basis points" has risen to 81%, setting a record high. In contrast, the probability of a "50 basis point interest rate cut" is 4%, the probability of "unchanged" is 16%, and the "interest rate increase" option is less than 1%.