Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256), and Grok replied that "it will be almost zero in the next five years."
On August 3, based on an article on the progress of quantum computer research published by IBM, Musk asked Grok about the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256). Grok replied that based on an assessment of 2025 by NIST, IBM and expert surveys, the probability of quantum computing cracking SHA-256 will be "almost 0% in the next five years and will be less than 10% by 2035." This requires millions of error correction qubits; current systems only support a maximum of about 1,000 noise qubits. The hash value of Bitcoin is still safe for now.
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