The USDJPY extended its move lower today, breaking decisively below the 200-4 時間チャートの棒移動平均 (currently near 144.86) and staying below that level through the U.S. session. The move marked a key shift in near-term momentum as sellers tightened their grip.

The decline accelerated after the pair failed to sustain above the swing area between 143.5 7 と 144.0 3, with sellers leaning against that zone during the latest correction. The subsequent move lower pushed price action toward the 4 月〜 5 月のラリー 61.8% のリトレース, which comes in at 143.225. The low of the day reached 143.29, stalling just above that Fibonacci support.

Looking ahead, holding above the 143.22 — 143.29 area keeps the door open for a bounce or corrective move. However, for buyers to regain control, the pair would need to push back above the 144.03 — 144.26 swing area and ultimately reclaim the 200-バー移動平均 and 100-時間 MA, both clustered near 144.86.

📌 監視するキーレベル ：

• サポート：

  • 143.29 — セッションロー

  • 143.225 — 4 月の安値から 5 月の高値への 61.8% のリトレース

  • 142.35 — 5 月 6 日からのスイング安値

  • 14164 — 142.109 — 次の下振幅領域

• 抵抗：

  • 143.573 — 144.026 — スイングエリア

  • 144.18 ～ 144.257 — 4 時間チャートの 200 バー MA と 50% のリトレースメント

  • 144.858 — 100bar MA （ 4 時間 ） と 100 時間 MA の収束

  • 145.91 — 200 時間 MA （ 近期上限 ）

🔻 バイアス：
Bearish below 144.03;
Break of 143.25 would increase downside momentum toward deeper retracement targets.