The USDCAD broke above a key resistance level at 1.3904 on 5 月 8 日, marking the end of a multi-week consolidation range. Two days later, the pair tested the 200-日移動平均 near 1.4015, a critical technical barrier. 売り手はそのレベルに傾いた on back-to-back sessions, preventing a sustained breakout and triggering a reversal.

By 5 月 14 日, the price had fallen back to retest the former breakout point at 1.3904. What had served as a 天井が床に変わった — temporarily. However, that 床は道を譲った in yesterday’s session, with the pair falling back into the prior consolidation zone between 1.3 7497 と 1.3904, where price had been trapped from 4 月 16 日 ～ 5 月 8 日.

Now, the 1.3904 の古いサポート has reestablished itself as 抵抗. As long as the pair stays 1.3904 以下, the バイアスは下方に傾き続けます.

On the downside, watch 1.38607 for 短期支援. This level marked 5 月 1 日のスイングハイ, was 5 月 8 日に壊れた during the upside breakout, and acted as a 5 月の高値のランチパッド (as indicated by the green circles). In the current session, the latest bounce also stalled at that level. A 1.38607 を下回る could invite より販売圧力 and further 弱気勢い.