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[Pre-market Analysis of U.S. Stocks] Pre-market Keywords of the day (2025.10.14)

Risk aversion heated up, the U.S. stock futures index fell, Bitcoin fell, and gold and silver hit high. The market is concerned about Powell's talks and Sino-US relations; bank financial reports are mostly better than expected. GM proposed EV fees, and the rare earth and AI supply chain attracted attention.

[Pre-market U.S. Stocks] Pre-market keywords of the day (2025.10.14)

Risk aversion heats up, futures and gold prices fall and hit highs. Market focuses on Powell and Sino-US variables

U.S. stocks fell in pre-market risk appetite. The three major futures indexes fell and Bitcoin fell. Gold and silver hit record highs. Investors were concerned about the talks between Fed Chairman Powell and the progress of Sino-US trade tensions in the early morning of October 15 in Taiwan time. The earnings of large banks were better than expected but it was difficult to reverse market caution. General Motors forecast that electric vehicle-related expenses would put pressure on its stock price, and the news that the rare earth supply chain was tightening in China followed up strongly.

Trading sentiment weakens, U.S. stock futures index falls and Bitcoin falls

After a rebound in the previous trading day, the market turned defensive again. Before the opening of trading in Taiwan tonight, Dow Jones futures fell nearly 0.7%, S & P 500 futures fell 0.9%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 1.2%. Bitcoin fell back from its high end the night before, reporting at US$111,300 per coin, indicating that highly volatile assets are under pressure. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond dropped to 4.02%, a nearly one-month low, reflecting safe-haven demand for funds to flow into the bond market.

Demand for safe-haven rises, and gold and silver hit new highs together

Gold futures recently rose 0.4% to US$4,150 an ounce, approaching a record high of US$4,200 during intraday trading; silver futures also hit an all-time high at US$50.50 an ounce. As the volatility of stocks and bonds intensifies and policy uncertainty heats up, the safe-haven nature of precious metals has received strong buying support.

Banks report good news, share price reactions are divided

A positive signal came from the financial report. JPMorgan Chase(JPM) announced a 9% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 12% year-on-year increase in profit. Benefiting from active trading business, its share price rose slightly before the market. Wells Fargo(WFC) was up about 3% before the market, motivated by solid net interest margin performance and an increase in profit target. Although Goldman Sachs(GS) revenue and profit both exceeded expectations, it fell about 2.5% before the market, indicating that the market is still cautious about its future outlook. Citigroup(Citigroup, C) reported better than expected, rising about 1% before the market. Overall, the quality of financial reports is not bad, but the boost to broad risk appetite is limited.

Policy and Fed, markets wait for Powell's signal

Investors paid attention to Powell's conversation in the early morning of October 15, Taiwan time, looking for the latest clues on the path of the economy and interest rates. Recently, Sino-US trade relations have affected market sentiment. As the stabilizing effect brought by the easing of policy guidelines in the previous trading day has weakened, funds are more inclined to reduce risk exposure before uncertainties are clarified. U.S. bond yields hit a one-month low, reflecting a reassessment of policy prospects and growth momentum.

Focusing on industry, General Motors has raised fees related to electric vehicles

General Motors(GM) said it will recognize approximately $1.6 billion in charges related to its electric vehicle business in its earnings report next quarter. The company mentioned in the document that recent policy adjustments in the United States include the termination of tax deductions for some electric vehicle purchases and the relaxation of emission regulations, which has led to a slowdown in the popularity of EV. GM fell about 2% before the market, and the automotive industry's high policy sensitivity was once again highlighted.

Supply chain risks are heating up, and the concept of rare earth continues to strengthen

The rare earth chain strengthened amid shocks after China threatened to tighten exports of key high-tech materials. MP Materials(MP) continued to rise by about 7% in pre-market trading, surging 21% in the previous trading day. Driven by changes in geography and policy supply and demand expectations, this group has strong short-term momentum, but its fluctuations have also been significantly amplified, making it one of the most watched industries before the market.

There are many messages in the technology chain, and AI cooperation stimulates attention

Broadcom(AVGO) and OpenAI announced plans to cooperate in the development and deployment of customized chips, driving Broadcom's share price to rise sharply the previous day. The market is concerned about the trend of AI infrastructure investment extending to self-developed chips and supply chain redistribution. Nvidia's dominant position in AI training and inference hardware is continuously evaluated by investors, focusing on the impact of cloud and multi-vendor strategies of large AI service providers on the industrial structure. Technology stocks have become a barometer of risk appetite. Pre-market performance is under pressure amid falling interest rates and policy uncertainty.

International market observation, European stocks rose slightly and Asian stocks diverged

European stocks rose slightly overnight, driven by raw materials and mining, and the overall risk sentiment remained cautious. Asian stocks are divided today, reflecting a wait-and-see attitude towards the future direction of Sino-US trade frictions. Signals of cooling tensions in the Middle East have helped curb risk premiums, but the market's focus has returned to U.S. policy and economic resilience, as well as the real impact of global supply chain rebalancing on corporate profits.

Raw materials and exchange rates, stronger precious metals and spillover pressure

Amid the weakening momentum of the US dollar and rising demand for safe-haven, precious metals remain strong, pulling asset allocation. Volatility in energy and metal prices is being transmitted to industry profit margin expectations through the cost side. Especially for groups sensitive to raw materials such as transportation, chemicals and electronics manufacturing, pre-market evaluations face repricing.

Focus on the key points before the market, and data and policies take precedence over individual stock news

At present, the main axis before the market is still policy and interest rate signals. Powell's talks, any caliber and specific measures on Sino-US relations will give priority to the index's opening trend and intraday risk appetite. Bank financial reports provide fundamental support but are difficult to reverse the cautious funds in an environment of high uncertainty. Individual industry news, such as electric vehicles and rare earth supply chains, forms a pre-market observation window for structural displacement. Overall, it is expected that U.S. stocks will open with risk management first, and the market will be dominated by policy and information flow.

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