CME Federal Reserve Observation: The probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in May is 5.1%
According to online reports, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation" data, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in May is 5.1%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 94.9%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until June is 29.9%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut by 25 basis points is 66.6%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut by 50 basis points is 3.5%.
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